Washington Nationals 2026 Forecast

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Nothing personal, but if Miles Mikolas (ERA of about 5.00 during the last three years) is your big free agent signings, you’ve got problems. Zach Littell is also new. he’s been effective the last two years with a WHIP around 1.18. Definite third starter. Josiah Gray seems to be a decent fourth starter with his improvement last year (ERA dropped 1.11 from the year before). Caleb Cavelli has 11 career starts. Jake Irvin has been just as bad as Mikolas. Foster Griffin hasn’t made a start in the majors in four years.

Offensively, what do they have? First baseman Luis Garcia Jr. (.266 career ave.) has averaged 17 homers the last two years. He will split time with Curtis Mead, who has only five homers in 445 at-bats. Third baseman Brady House has about 100 fewer than that. There is lots of youth here, much like the Marlins. Infielder Nasim Nuñez makes the club after playing in 90 games during the last two years. Jorbit Vivas hit .271 in the minors. CJ Abrams hit .329 in the minors. That kind of showing often means much the same at the big-league level. Catcher, Keibert Ruiz (.248 career ave.) is decent.

In the outfield, Daylen Lile, Jacob Young, James Wood, and Joey Wiemer will split time. Lile hit .299 his rookie year. Wood hit 31 homers his first full season. Young’s batting average was 25 points worse in his second full year compared to his first. Wiemer hasn’t shown he can hit much at all.

Forecast: It’s hard to tell what young talent is going to do. The starting pitching is not great. Abrams and Lile could be good, but Abrams is signing single-year deals, apparently until he can flee this situation. They aren’t as good as Miami. 67 wins

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